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Emissary
 
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Post 12 Jan 2016, 4:39 pm

I guess war-games are common place to a certain degree. But this situation may be worth keeping an eye on.

With so much money in sanctions at stake I doubt Iran will fumble on this but there do seem to be some rouge elements at play.

Thoughts?
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Post 12 Jan 2016, 5:06 pm

to be more specific, this situation......

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/13/world/middleeast/iran-holds-us-navy-boats-crew.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0
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Post 14 Jan 2016, 4:36 pm



There is no excuse for the Iranian behavior.

However, one has to wonder if there is ANY provocation that will matter.

Iran has:

1. Twice violated UN resolutions re ballistic missiles.
2. Twice fired rockets near a US carrier.
3. Taken our crew prisoner at gunpoint and videotaped it. They subsequently boasted about it.

That's just in the past few months.

Meanwhile, Obama/Biden/Kerry act like Iran's defense attorneys. It's pathetic, embarrassing, and encourages worse behavior from Iran.

But, all the three stooges care about is making sure Iran gets more money to create more mischief with.
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Post 15 Jan 2016, 2:15 pm

Stupid question:

If a couple of boats with Iranian service personnel were to drift into US waters, what would the US coastguard do?
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Post 15 Jan 2016, 3:14 pm

danivon wrote:Stupid question:

If a couple of boats with Iranian service personnel were to drift into US waters, what would the US coastguard do?


I think it's a perfectly reasonable question.

Here's what we would NOT do:

1. Take the Iranians' ship at gunpoint--unless they were refusing to ID themselves.
2. Take pictures of the Iranian sailors surrendering to us.
3. Record an apology by the Iranian captain and broadcast it on TV.
4. Trumpet the incident as a sign of our military strength.

More than anything, the diplomatic/political response to the incident by the Administration was unbelievable--as in I really can't believe they are THAT bad at this.

What should have been done:

1. Ascertain what the Americans were doing.
2. Sort out if they represented any threat to Iran.
3. Help them contact their own fleet.
4. Standby until they had been towed away.

That's assuming this was mechanical. If, and it's a big IF, the Iranians somehow forcibly boarded after forcibly stopping the boat, then the responses by the US are contemptible.
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Post 15 Jan 2016, 4:20 pm

danivon wrote:Stupid question:

If a couple of boats with Iranian service personnel were to drift into US waters, what would the US coastguard do?


We HAVE towed a vessel back into Cuban waters where it was transferred to another Cuban patrol craft.

We did not board the vessel
We did not confiscate the vessel
We did not hold the crew overnight

Granted, it was not Iranian, but close enough.
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 7:51 am

danivon
If a couple of boats with Iranian service personnel were to drift into US waters, what would the US coastguard do?


What if the vessels weren't "drifting"?
Once the sailors were released, AP reported, “In Washington, a defense official said the Navy has ruled out engine or propulsion failure as the reason the boats entered Iranian waters.”

Diplomacy has averted any repercussions from the incident. But whats really worth reviewing is how the US media treated the incident. Versus how it treated the recent Turkish army shooting down two Russian planes. Or, if you want to go back to a dark incident , how the Vincennes shooting down of an Iranian airliner in 1988 was treated in the Media....

https://theintercept.com/2016/01/15/the ... s-version/

The pictures of the American sailors reminded me of the way many police in the US often demand compliance from people they've stopped. Worried about a gun being pulled on them ...they treat a lot of innocent people in this fashion until they've ascertained that the situation is safe. Why wouldn't Iranian sailors also be worried for their safety in the same way? They've just stopped armed American vessels operating in Iranian waters ... where they simply shouldn't be. Shouldn't the Iranians be prepared for violence?
Seems to me that there was nothing unreasonable in the "traffic stop".
And everything good about the normalization of affairs between the two nations. The last time British sailors got themselves in this situation the Iranians kept them for 13 days.

Fate
.
Take pictures of the Iranian sailors surrendering to us.

Your saying that this is not something the US military has done repeatedly?
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 8:26 am

rickyp wrote:danivon
If a couple of boats with Iranian service personnel were to drift into US waters, what would the US coastguard do?


What if the vessels weren't "drifting"?
Once the sailors were released, AP reported, “In Washington, a defense official said the Navy has ruled out engine or propulsion failure as the reason the boats entered Iranian waters.”


Maybe. I don't think we know yet.

So, let's say your link (Glenn Greenwald) is correct. How were the boats stopped? Now, THAT is something to think about. Frankly, that is more frightening than a mechanical breakdown.

Diplomacy has averted any repercussions from the incident.


Bull. The "deal" for Iran to get a nuke "averted any repercussions." Obama would kill his best friend to keep this deal (via drone strike, of course).

But whats really worth reviewing is how the US media treated the incident. Versus how it treated the recent Turkish army shooting down two Russian planes. Or, if you want to go back to a dark incident , how the Vincennes shooting down of an Iranian airliner in 1988 was treated in the Media....


Apples and spaceships.

Turkey shot down Russian planes in a war zone. We are not at war with Iran--unless Greenwald has some insight on that.

The pictures of the American sailors reminded me of the way many police in the US often demand compliance from people they've stopped. Worried about a gun being pulled on them ...they treat a lot of innocent people in this fashion until they've ascertained that the situation is safe.


I'm going to be polite and restrain myself: you are an idiot.

Officers do not pull weapons on unarmed, innocent people who have done nothing wrong and pose no potential threat.

Now, you may argue the US sailors posed a threat to the Iranian navy. I would ask what right, legally, the Iranians had to board the US ship? If they had no right, then the whole incident is Iran's fault.

Again, how did they stop the US boats? By threat of force? By polite inquiry?

YOU do not know enough to make the assertions you are making. You're a poser. You know nothing about serving, about having a gun pointed at you by crazy Iranians (which the Iranian Republican Guard are), or about military protocols.

Why wouldn't Iranian sailors also be worried for their safety in the same way? They've just stopped armed American vessels operating in Iranian waters ... where they simply shouldn't be. Shouldn't the Iranians be prepared for violence?


Please tell me how the Iranians stopped the Americans. Go ahead.

Seems to me that there was nothing unreasonable in the "traffic stop".
And everything good about the normalization of affairs between the two nations. The last time British sailors got themselves in this situation the Iranians kept them for 13 days.


And, if the Iranians had done that to the Americans it would have cost them $150B and a free path to the nuclear weapon Obama is giving them.

Fate
.
Take pictures of the Iranian sailors surrendering to us.

Your saying that this is not something the US military has done repeatedly?


Have we? During peace time?

Why don't you keep your Canadian values where they belong?
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 8:29 am

Now, the Administration is rewarding kidnapping by the Iranians:

Iran has released four imprisoned U.S. citizens, including Washington Post journalist Jason Rezaian, as part of a swap, the office of Tehran’s prosecutor announced Saturday, according to Iranian news media.

The other released prisoners include Amir Hekmat, a former U.S. Marine, and Saeed Abedni, a pastor, and a fourth unnamed American. All four are dual U.S.-Iranian citizens. Rezaian has been held since 2014.

According to Iran’s Fars News Agency, the four were ordered released in exchange for six Iranian-Americans held in the United States on sanctions-related charges.
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 10:52 am

My best guess is that there was an unwritten understanding between Iran and the US that these individuals would be released as part of the nuclear agreement. However, Obama didn't want explicit linkage, and maybe Iran did not either.
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 2:41 pm

Fate
Turkey shot down Russian planes in a war zone. We are not at war with Iran

Neither is Turkey at war with Russia.
Nor was Iran and the US at war when the Vincennes shot the Iranian passenger jet out of the sky.
So what? The way the incidents were reported were wildly inaccurate. As apparently was the inital reporting of this incident.

Fate
I would ask what right, legally, the Iranians had to board the US ship?

Since they were in Iranian waters, probably every right according to Iranian law.
If Iranian law is anything like American law. Which follows:

Any officer of the customs may at any time go on board of any vessel or vehicle at any place in the United States or within the customs waters or, as he may be authorized, within a customs-enforcement area established under the Anti-Smuggling Act [19 U.S.C. 1701 et seq.], or at any other authorized place, without as well as within his district, and examine the manifest and other documents and papers and examine, inspect, and search the vessel or vehicle and every part thereof and any person, trunk, package, or cargo on board, and to this end may hail and stop such vessel or vehicle, and use all necessary force to compel compliance.
(b) Officers of Department of the Treasury
Officers of the Department of the Treasury and other persons authorized by such department may go on board of any vessel at any place in the United States or within the customs waters and hail, stop, and board such vessel in the enforcement of the navigation laws and arrest or, in case of escape or attempted escape, pursue and arrest any person engaged in the breach or violation of the navigation laws.


Fate
Officers do not pull weapons on unarmed, innocent people who have done nothing wrong and pose no potential threat

There are examples of this all over the Internet Fate.
But lets first clear up the unarmed innocent people expression.
This was an armed vessel, who were in Iranian territory without permission. The Iranians therefore had every right to interdict them. And forcibly stop them, if their law mirrors US law.
And the Iranian sailors had every right to take precautions to ensure that the US sailors did not use their weapons to resist.

Fate
Please tell me how the Iranians stopped the Americans. Go ahead

Why does this matter? They have the legal right to use force since the American vessels were in their space and not on the High Seas.

Fate
Have we? During peace time?

yes. All the time. From Viet Nam through to Abu Gharib and Guantanomo there have been pictures of prisoners being abused
There was a big stink about the Geneva Conventions and the way Iraqis POWs were treated in both the First and Second Gulf Wars.
Prisoners of war must at all times be humanely treated. … [P]risoners of war must at all times be protected, particularly against acts of violence or intimidation and against insults and public curiosity
.
This is more like a police take down, and we see them all the time ...

Fate
And, if the Iranians had done that to the Americans it would have cost them $150B

yes. So?
If the deal hadn't been done, Iran would have a path to a nuclear weapon with no inspections in place - plus the prisoners just released would still be in custody and these sailors would probably face a long internment.
Plus the Iranian oil wouldn't be on the international market, forcing the price of oil down. (mixed blessing I guess).
And all the bluster in the world wouldn't change the situation...
But when Iranian interests can be damaged, they react positively .
You get more flies with honey than vinegar.
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 3:21 pm

So says Neville Chamberlain
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 3:33 pm

bbauska
So says Neville Chamberlain


Ron (trust but verify) Reagan signed nuclear non-proliferation treaties with Russia. Was he giving in to them too?
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 3:41 pm

rickyp wrote:bbauska
So says Neville Chamberlain


Ron (trust but verify) Reagan signed nuclear non-proliferation treaties with Russia. Was he giving in to them too?


A treaty backed up with action is fine. Has the Iranians followed the conditions of the treaty?
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Post 16 Jan 2016, 5:52 pm

rickyp wrote:Fate
Turkey shot down Russian planes in a war zone. We are not at war with Iran

Neither is Turkey at war with Russia.


Oh my word. You are so clueless. What part of "war zone" do you not comprehend?

We also know Russia had several warnings before Turkey made a move.

Nor was Iran and the US at war when the Vincennes shot the Iranian passenger jet out of the sky.


Utterly stupid. Even if we were at war with Iran, shooting an airliner down would not be legal. However, it might be explicable. Read this and learn something--if that is possible. http://harvardpolitics.com/world/sorry- ... flight-17/

Fate
I would ask what right, legally, the Iranians had to board the US ship?

Since they were in Iranian waters, probably every right according to Iranian law.


You don't know what happened. This is speculation.

If Iranian law is anything like American law. Which follows:

Any officer of the customs may at any time go on board of any vessel or vehicle at any place in the United States or within the customs waters or, as he may be authorized, within a customs-enforcement area established under the Anti-Smuggling Act [19 U.S.C. 1701 et seq.], or at any other authorized place, without as well as within his district, and examine the manifest and other documents and papers and examine, inspect, and search the vessel or vehicle and every part thereof and any person, trunk, package, or cargo on board, and to this end may hail and stop such vessel or vehicle, and use all necessary force to compel compliance.
(b) Officers of Department of the Treasury
Officers of the Department of the Treasury and other persons authorized by such department may go on board of any vessel at any place in the United States or within the customs waters and hail, stop, and board such vessel in the enforcement of the navigation laws and arrest or, in case of escape or attempted escape, pursue and arrest any person engaged in the breach or violation of the navigation laws.


If you want to be an expert on Iranian law, using American law might not be the best. In any event, answer these:

1. Are you suggesting the Iranians suspected smuggling? If so, on what basis are you making that assertion?

2. Do you know how the Iranians stopped the ship? If not, isn't this all just guesswork?

3. Is the Iranian Revolutionary Guard anything like the Department of the Treasury?

Fate
Officers do not pull weapons on unarmed, innocent people who have done nothing wrong and pose no potential threat

There are examples of this all over the Internet Fate.


Guess what? The fact that such examples MAY exist does NOT mean it's legal or authorized!

You are dull.

But lets first clear up the unarmed innocent people expression.
This was an armed vessel, who were in Iranian territory without permission. The Iranians therefore had every right to interdict them. And forcibly stop them, if their law mirrors US law.
And the Iranian sailors had every right to take precautions to ensure that the US sailors did not use their weapons to resist.


You made the cop analogy. Now you want to critique it? How utterly foolish.

So, every time an American enters their waters, accidentally or not, they should risk war?

That's a perspective. It's a dumb one, but it's a perspective. You're a freaking moron if you think the US sailors on an incapacitated boat are going to open fire when they are surrounded and outgunned.

Fate
Please tell me how the Iranians stopped the Americans. Go ahead

Why does this matter? They have the legal right to use force since the American vessels were in their space and not on the High Seas.


You are guessing. You don't know. Again, this alleged aggression you think happened should be unsettling.

Fate
Have we? During peace time?

yes. All the time. From Viet Nam through to Abu Gharib and Guantanomo there have been pictures of prisoners being abused


Again, moron, you're wrong. This is an Iranian Government releasing the pictures for propaganda purposes. The US government did no such thing. Furthermore, it is a violation of the Geneva Convention, which may or may not apply.

This is more like a police take down, and we see them all the time ...


I'm giving you all the respect you deserve--none. You know nothing, have done nothing, and are a useless critic. That's all you know how to do is criticize people who put their lives on the line. You couldn't and wouldn't do a thing in the defense of your country, so what good are you?

You lie. You avoid answering questions. You speculate. You make stuff up.

And, you're a coward, hiding in your hole.