Join In On The Action "Register Here" To View The Forums

Already a Member Login Here

Board index Forum Index
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 9:24 am

Ray Jay wrote:Ricky, I appreciate your weighing in. The Democratic party is fighting to preserve an abortion option after 24 weeks, so you can comment on that.

But I wanted Freeman to comment on the article that he posted. It argues for an 8 week standard. Although most abortions are before 12 weeks, I don't know how many are before the 8 week marker. In any case, I want Freeman to comment on why he vociferously supports the Democratic Party which vociferously fights for abortion right up through 24 weeks, and even after that under certain circumstances. It seems like cognitive dissonance to me.


Abortion without limits. That's the Democratic Party, but it is a minority of the country.

Hillary Clinton has expressed opposition to legal limits on abortion at any stage of pregnancy.

John Dickerson, CBS's host of Face the Nation, asked Clinton during an interview on Sunday: "The Senate's going to vote to impose a ban on late-term abortions. Do you support a federal limit on abortion at any stage of pregnancy?"

"I think that the kind of late-term abortions that take place are because of medical necessity, and therefore I would hate to see the government interfering with that decision," Clinton replied. "This gets back to whether you respect a woman's right to choose or not, and I think that's what this whole argument is about."

Clinton's claim that all late-term abortions are performed because of "medical necessity" is simply false:

According to Ilyse Hogue, the president of NARAL, elective late-term abortions never occur. "No woman carries their child to six, seven, eight months and then one day decides they don’t want to become a parent,” Hogue told the New York Times. That sounds plausible. Who would do such a thing?

But a recent study contradicts Hogue's claim. "Diana Greene Foster, associate professor of obstetrics and gynecology and the University of California, San Francisco, co-authored a forthcoming paper looking at more than 200 women who had abortions after 20 weeks for nonmedical reasons," wrote Michelle Goldberg in the Daily Beast. "According to Foster, two thirds of them were delayed while they tried to raise money to pay for a termination. Twelve percent were teenagers, some of whom went months without realizing they were pregnant." The fact that one professor could find a sample of 200 women who had late-term abortions for "nonmedical reasons" indicates that the total number of elective late-term abortions is quite large.

Foster looked at what happened to women who had wanted a late-term abortion but missed their clinic's self-imposed or state-imposed deadlines. "About 5 percent of the women, after they have had the baby, still wish they hadn’t. And the rest of them adjust," she told the New York Times.

So late-term abortions do occur in the United States for no medical reason at all. One prominent late-term abortionist in Maryland admitted on camera that he will perform "purely elective" abortions through 28 weeks of pregnancy. Several states and the District of Columbia have no laws prohibiting abortion throughout all nine months of pregnancy. And the late-term abortion ban in Congress explicitly includes an exception for when a physical health issue--"excluding psychological or emotional conditions"--endangers the life of the mother.

Gallup polls have found that 80 percent of Americans think abortion should be illegal during the last three months of pregnancy, while only 14 percent of Americans think abortion should be legal during the last three months of pregnancy:


The first column is those who think abortion ought to be legal in the final trimester, the second is those who do not believe it should be legal.
Image
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 9:26 am

danivon wrote:
Doctor Fate wrote:
danivon wrote:Without such definitions, I can't even begin to deal with your assertion. With them, and with some real data, I may be forced to accept it. But then again, perhaps you fear that you just made it as a snarky throwaway comment and it may end up being false...?


Nope, not going to play your game. If you believe Italy will still be Italy and Germany will still be Germany after their populations become increasingly Islamic and Middle Eastern, that's fine. Believe what you like.

Not a "game".

After three tries to get you to even explain what it actually means, and all you can do is hide behind sophistry and trying to "second guess" my intent, I will confirm what I said.

You made an assertion. I don't believe it is true, but wanted you to clarify what you meant or provide some evidence. You are evading that clarification, and as I said, this tells me it is BS. Or at least you only have prejudice to substantiate it.


It is a game. You want me to spend hours running down every complaint or concern you might have. I'm not going to do it. Believe what you want.
User avatar
Statesman
 
Posts: 11324
Joined: 15 Aug 2000, 8:59 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 9:48 am

Fate here's what Clinton said:
"I think that the kind of late-term abortions that take place are because of medical necessity, and therefore I would hate to see the government interfering with that decision," Clinton replied. "This gets back to whether you respect a woman's right to choose or not, and I think that's what this whole argument is about."

We've already established that only around 1,032 late term abortions occur in the US annually.
What portion of them is medical necessity? What portion are not?
Would you stop a doctor from saving a woman's life if a late term abortion were all that was going to save her?
Right now, the medical community won't do late term abortions upon request...
But in the event of a medical calamity, don't you trust these doctors and their patients to make that horrible choice on their own or do you need the government to intervene in that decision? And if intervention includes the use of force would you advocate that?
Can't reasonable responsible doctors and informed patients make their own decision in these rare cases?

http://www.upworthy.com/dont-ask-hillar ... her-answer
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 10:16 am

rickyp wrote:Fate here's what Clinton said:
"I think that the kind of late-term abortions that take place are because of medical necessity, and therefore I would hate to see the government interfering with that decision," Clinton replied. "This gets back to whether you respect a woman's right to choose or not, and I think that's what this whole argument is about."

We've already established that only around 1,032 late term abortions occur in the US annually.
What portion of them is medical necessity? What portion are not?


I guess you skipped my last post. An article I quoted:

The fact that one professor could find a sample of 200 women who had late-term abortions for "nonmedical reasons" indicates that the total number of elective late-term abortions is quite large.

Foster looked at what happened to women who had wanted a late-term abortion but missed their clinic's self-imposed or state-imposed deadlines. "About 5 percent of the women, after they have had the baby, still wish they hadn’t. And the rest of them adjust," she told the New York Times.

So late-term abortions do occur in the United States for no medical reason at all. One prominent late-term abortionist in Maryland admitted on camera that he will perform "purely elective" abortions through 28 weeks of pregnancy. Several states and the District of Columbia have no laws prohibiting abortion throughout all nine months of pregnancy. And the late-term abortion ban in Congress explicitly includes an exception for when a physical health issue--"excluding psychological or emotional conditions"--endangers the life of the mother.


rickyp wrote:Would you stop a doctor from saving a woman's life if a late term abortion were all that was going to save her?


No, not if that was the case. However, that would not fall under "elective" (see above).

Right now, the medical community won't do late term abortions upon request...


Wrong. See MD doctor above. I've also cited the CO doctor who will.

But in the event of a medical calamity, don't you trust these doctors and their patients to make that horrible choice on their own or do you need the government to intervene in that decision?


Coming from you, that's a riot. Mr. Big Government is concerned about government intrusion???

Child, please.

You would have the government involved in EVERY aspect of medical treatment and now you want to pretend that abortion is somehow of another category?

Stand tall with the 10-14% of Americans who agree with you.
User avatar
Statesman
 
Posts: 11324
Joined: 15 Aug 2000, 8:59 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 12:30 pm

fate
You would have the government involved in EVERY aspect of medical treatment and now you want to pretend that abortion is somehow of another category


I take it that this is because you believe that national health insurance results in a Big Brother situation. It doesn't.
But don't let the experience of millions of people around the world in nations with national health insurance change your perception.
And yes I would be very upset of the government got involved in a personal medical decision.


Fate
I guess you skipped my last post. An article I quoted

I read it. It says ....

women who had abortions after 20 weeks for nonmedical reasons,


late term is not 20 weeks. Its after 22 to 24 weeks. Moreover the sample found was 200 women. It doesn't say over what period of time this group had abortions. If a women was 70, and had an abortion when she was 20 ... and another was 18 and had an abortion last year they could both be reported in this group as the article is written..
So its pretty useless in indicating how often a late term (after 22 to 24 weeks) abortion occurs by choice.
I'm sure there are some. I'd prefer there were none. If doctors had to request approval for abortion procedures from their board on pregnancies that were more than 22 to 24 weeks on...I think there would be fewer. Perhaps none.
The focus should be on preventing unwanted pregnancy. That isn't accomplished with attempts to criminalize women who choose abortion.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 12:47 pm

rickyp wrote:fate
You would have the government involved in EVERY aspect of medical treatment and now you want to pretend that abortion is somehow of another category


I take it that this is because you believe that national health insurance results in a Big Brother situation. It doesn't.
But don't let the experience of millions of people around the world in nations with national health insurance change your perception.
And yes I would be very upset of the government got involved in a personal medical decision.


Killing is always a very personal decision.

So, socialized medicine results in no government intervention? It just pays the bills with a smile on its face--kind of a sugar-daddy?

So, if I look, I'll find no cases of governments refusing to pay for treatment? I'll find no cases of unreasonable delays? I'll find near-perfection?


Fate
I guess you skipped my last post. An article I quoted

I read it. It says ....

women who had abortions after 20 weeks for nonmedical reasons,


late term is not 20 weeks. Its after 22 to 24 weeks.


Democrats, including Hillary, want ZERO restrictions on abortions. None.

Is that what you support?

Are you okay with third trimester abortions for no medical cause whatsoever?

It's not about "rare cases" where the mother's life is in jeopardy, it's about cases where it's not.

Do you acknowledge there are late-term abortions for non-life-threatening reasons?

The focus should be on preventing unwanted pregnancy. That isn't accomplished with attempts to criminalize women who choose abortion.


Interestingly, during the recent shoutyourabortion campaign on Twitter, one woman wrote of how she would abort any child if she became pregnant because she wanted no children. Um, so why not get "fixed?"

Malice aforethought.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 15994
Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 1:05 pm

Doctor Fate wrote:
danivon wrote:
Doctor Fate wrote:
danivon wrote:Without such definitions, I can't even begin to deal with your assertion. With them, and with some real data, I may be forced to accept it. But then again, perhaps you fear that you just made it as a snarky throwaway comment and it may end up being false...?


Nope, not going to play your game. If you believe Italy will still be Italy and Germany will still be Germany after their populations become increasingly Islamic and Middle Eastern, that's fine. Believe what you like.

Not a "game".

After three tries to get you to even explain what it actually means, and all you can do is hide behind sophistry and trying to "second guess" my intent, I will confirm what I said.

You made an assertion. I don't believe it is true, but wanted you to clarify what you meant or provide some evidence. You are evading that clarification, and as I said, this tells me it is BS. Or at least you only have prejudice to substantiate it.


It is a game. You want me to spend hours running down every complaint or concern you might have. I'm not going to do it. Believe what you want.

No, I want you to either admit you pulled it out of your ass, or back it up with evidence. If you want to make assertions without evidence and have them accepted at face value, then be prepared to be disappointed.

Now, I am prepared to do the work to try and DISPROVE your assertion, but before I can, I would need your definitions. That takes no research on your part, just a little effort to explain what you mean by it.

Again, this is not a game. This is me calling you out on bullshit. You are quick to do it with ricky, so can you take what you dish out? Can you respond in a more adult way that he can? Or will you simply fall back on making accusations about my motive in asking you to substantiate your claim.

Which was:

that most "socialist countries" (whatever they are), the "native population" (which could be those born there alone, but I wonder if you count the children of immigrants in that) is "nose-diving".

If you count the UK as a socialist country, and those living here who were born here as the "native population", then clearly it is not "nose-diving" based on our census history:

total population, 1951-2011 (as per https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demograph ... ed_Kingdom which uses the annual census as the source)

1951 = 50,255,000
1961 = 52,807,000
1971 = 55,928,000
1981 = 56,357,000
1991 = 57,439,000
2001 = 59,113,000
2011 = 63,182,000

foreign born population, 1951 - 2011 (as per https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign-b ... ed_Kingdom which uses the annual census as the source)

1951 = 2,118,600
1961 = 2,573,500
1971 = 3,190,300
1981 = 3,429,100
1991 = 3,835,400
2001 = 4,896,600
2011 = 7,505,000

Now the difference between those figures will, logically, be the UK-born (ie: "native") population of the UK. You can do the arithmetic yourself, but here are the numbers:


1951 = 48,106,400
1961 = 50,233,500
1971 = 52,737,700
1981 = 52,927,900
1991 = 53,603,600
2001 = 54,216,400
2011 = 55,677,000

Looks like every single census shows a higher number of native-born UK residents than the last. Now, I am prepared to accept the argument that since 2011 our native population has indeed "nose-dived" if you would only deign to provide some evidence.

And I am also open to you picking some other "socialist" countries so we can compare.

Or you can just recant, of course...
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 1:47 pm

danivon wrote:Which was:

that most "socialist countries" (whatever they are), the "native population" (which could be those born there alone, but I wonder if you count the children of immigrants in that) is "nose-diving".


It is a "game."

You can't even be bothered to quote me. You want to re-interpret what I said.

I wrote:

In most socialist countries, the native population is nose-diving. So, there are few pregnancies of any kind.


This is what I was referring to: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility

You can do as you wish. My intent was clear to me when I wrote it. I know, for example that Italy's is something like 1.1 and a country needs 2.2 to maintain the same population European famiiles are not having many (if any) children. Immigrant families are.

I know a family that lived in Germany. They have seven kids. People looked at them as if they were seeing an exhibit in a zoo.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 15994
Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 1:48 pm

I also looked at Spain. Before 1981 the number of foreign born residents was less than 200,000. Now it is nearly 5 million (although lower than a few years ago - it peaked at 5.7 million in 2010-11

Again, comparing the total population to the foreign born population, I see that the difference, the Spain-born population, has increased:

over the past 33 years (since 1981) from 37,543,000
over the past 16 years (since 1998) from 39,084,000
over the past 5 years (since 2009) from 40,640,000
and even the last year (since 2014) from 41,655,000

to the latest 2014 figure of 41,832,000

Another "socialist" country that has seen a native population increase, not a nose dive.

Can you suggest one that we can find, DF?
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 15994
Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 1:57 pm

Doctor Fate wrote:
danivon wrote:Which was:

that most "socialist countries" (whatever they are), the "native population" (which could be those born there alone, but I wonder if you count the children of immigrants in that) is "nose-diving".


It is a "game."
To you, maybe. You are playing a really bad hand though.

You can't even be bothered to quote me. You want to re-interpret what I said.
I already quoted your exact words in post above. And above I was incredibly close. Please tell me what the essential difference is between my sentence:

that most "socialist countries" (whatever they are), the "native population" (which could be those born there alone, but I wonder if you count the children of immigrants in that) is "nose-diving".


And your first one

In most socialist countries, the native population is nose-diving.


I make it that I omitted the word "In" and added some ellipses.

This is what I was referring to: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sub-replacement_fertility

You can do as you wish. My intent was clear to me when I wrote it. I know, for example that Italy's is something like 1.1 and a country needs 2.2 to maintain the same population European famiiles are not having many (if any) children. Immigrant families are.
Right, so what you mean is a native is not a native if their parent(s) were immigrants? I was asking you to clarify that point but you just accused me of playing games.

I know a family that lived in Germany. They have seven kids. People looked at them as if they were seeing an exhibit in a zoo.
And this is proof of what?

Look, you said that the native "population" was nose-diving. Based on the true definition of "native" (2born there"), I have found it to be false for two countries now. Perhaps you could clarify exactly what you mean by "native" if not "born there":

Do both parents have to also be native?
Could one be native if the other is not?

[edited to remove extra "quote"]
Last edited by danivon on 24 Sep 2015, 2:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 1:59 pm

danivon wrote:Look, you said that the native "population" was nose-diving. Based on the true definition of "native" (2born there"), I have found it to be false for two countries now. Perhaps you could clarify exactly what you mean by "native" if not "born there":

Do both parents have to also be native?
Could one be native if the other is not?


From the link above:

As of 2010, about 48% of the world population lives in nations with sub-replacement fertility.[3] Nonetheless most of these countries still have growing populations due to immigration, population momentum and increase of the life expectancy. This includes most nations of Europe, Canada, Australia, Brazil, Russia, Iran, Tunisia, China, and many others.


That is what I meant and it's true. You may blather all you like.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 15994
Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 2:09 pm

So why not just admit that when you wrote what you did, it was not what you meant?

You call others dishonest, and yet when I quote your exact words at you you accuse me of having misquoted you.

Why should anyone believe a word you say?
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 21062
Joined: 15 Jun 2002, 6:53 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 2:58 pm

danivon wrote:So why not just admit that when you wrote what you did, it was not what you meant?

You call others dishonest, and yet when I quote your exact words at you you accuse me of having misquoted you.


Meh, look at the context:

Doctor Fate wrote:In most socialist countries, the native population is nose-diving. So, there are few pregnancies of any kind.


Putting the accent on the SECOND sentence, my meaning is (arguably) more plain.

Why should anyone believe a word you say?


You edited what I said. If you had chosen the second sentence rather than the first, I don't think it would be so controversial for you. Even better, if I'd have written, "Genetically European women are simply not having children at the rate needed to replace themselves" we never would have been on this rabbit trail.

Now, take your nitro pills and calm down.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 15994
Joined: 15 Apr 2004, 6:29 am

Post 24 Sep 2015, 10:50 pm

Doctor Fate wrote:
danivon wrote:So why not just admit that when you wrote what you did, it was not what you meant?

You call others dishonest, and yet when I quote your exact words at you you accuse me of having misquoted you.


Meh, look at the context:

Doctor Fate wrote:In most socialist countries, the native population is nose-diving. So, there are few pregnancies of any kind.


Putting the accent on the SECOND sentence, my meaning is (arguably) more plain.
However, your use of "So" means you are saying that the second sentence logically follows from the first. Now you seem to be saying we should use the second sentence as "context" to justify the false assertion in the first.

That does not detract from the point that the first sentence stands on its own as an assertion of fact, regardless of context.

Why should anyone believe a word you say?


You edited what I said. If you had chosen the second sentence rather than the first, I don't think it would be so controversial for you. Even better, if I'd have written, "Genetically European women are simply not having children at the rate needed to replace themselves" we never would have been on this rabbit trail.
I chose to challenge the false assertion. Had you not written it I would not have felt the need to.

However, your new "revision" is also problematic - what do the genetic purity of Europeans have to do with the issue of religion coming in? Or abortion.

I wonder, do you consider my family to be part of the "problem"? After all, my wife is not "Genetically European" as her father is from another racial group.

Now, take your nitro pills and calm down.
Whatever, kidda.
User avatar
Ambassador
 
Posts: 4965
Joined: 08 Jun 2000, 10:26 am

Post 25 Sep 2015, 6:23 am

https://www.guttmacher.org/pubs/fb_indu ... rtion.html

Here's a website with some good seemingly unbiased stats on abortions in the US. There are about 1 million per year and about 1% of those are after 20 weeks, or about 10,000 per year. Roughly 2/3rds are 8 weeks or earlier and 90% are 20 weeks or earlier.