Ray Jay wrote:His percentages are too high across the board for Trump not to get close to a majority of delegates. He's insulted women, the handicapped, war heroes, etc. and maintains high support. If Trump were to win 45% of the delegates, and somehow the party establishment were to take the nomination away from him, I think that would split the Party. Having the party leaders ignore the voters is a good reason why so many of the rank and file are upset with the Republican Party establishment to begin with.
I agree, which is why he must be stopped now, before he attains 45%. It's not impossible. There are many who do not know (as a previous link said) about his many failures. The money needs to be invested there.
Alternatively, if Trump were to win the election, I think we would have some sort of disaster. His suggestions about all sorts of things including torture, civil rights, freedom of the press, religious litmus tests, rounding up illegals, trade tariffs, etc. are extremely high risk.
I do not disagree. However, there is such antipathy for the "machine" (establishment, Congress, experienced leadership) that I'm not sure he would beat Hillary either (I certainly would not vote for her no matter what). The mood is not for competence or reliability, but for revolution and destruction.
Who knows where we would go, but I fear for our soul, and my 401(k). Maybe in 2 years when he crosses another tenet of civilization the Congress tries to get rid of him. What would his impeachment do to the Republican Party and the country?
He likely will split the GOP anyway--unless he is stopped fairly and squarely. If he wins, he will likely get primaried in 2020, which will be the end of the GOP as we know it. That's okay, it may be time for a realignment.
At this point I think the best outcome is Trump wins the nomination but loses the general to Clinton. Our republic can survive 4 or 8 more years of divided government, higher taxes, and more regulation. Not fun, but not fatal.
I think Trump is savvy enough to beat her. He will beat the email thing like a drum. And, it's hard to see how he won't bring every scandal of hers front and center. It's what he does. You saw what he did to Jeb. I don't think Hillary is all that likable or has much charisma.
What Trump represents to me is a coming of the Age of Celebrity. If he wins, we will see reality stars and other celebrities run over and over again.
In part, Trump is able to get away with his comments about the First Amendment and other outrageous things because many people don't know the first thing about our Constitution. He is afloat on a sea of ignorance.